The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center (2024)

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Trading in financial markets has always been an alluring endeavor. The prospect of financial independence, the allure of fast gains, and the excitement of the market’s ups and downs attract countless new traders every day. However, the world of trading is not for the faint of heart. It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade. In this article, we’ll delve into what this rule means, why it exists, and how traders can navigate these challenges to improve their chances of success.

Understanding the Rule of 90

The Rule of 90 is a grim statistic that serves as a sobering reminder of the difficulty of trading. According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital. While this rule may seem like an exaggeration or a harsh generalization, it highlights a genuine issue in the world of trading: the steep learning curve and inherent risks.

Reasons Behind the Rule

Several factors contribute to the high failure rate among new traders:

  1. Lack of Education: Many newcomers to the world of trading dive in without adequately educating themselves about the markets, trading strategies, and risk management. This lack of knowledge can lead to costly mistakes.
  2. Emotional Trading: Emotions, such as fear and greed, can cloud a trader’s judgment and lead to impulsive decision-making. Emotional trading often results in losses.
  3. Lack of a Solid Plan: Successful traders develop well-defined trading plans that include entry and exit strategies, risk management, and clear goals. Novices often trade without a plan, increasing their vulnerability to losses.
  4. Overleveraging: Overleveraging, or trading with excessive borrowed funds, can amplify gains but also magnify losses. Many inexperienced traders fall into this trap.
  5. Unrealistic Expectations: New traders may enter the market with unrealistic expectations of making quick profits. When these expectations aren’t met, frustration and disappointment can set in.

Navigating the Challenges

While the Rule of 90 paints a bleak picture, it’s essential to remember that trading is not inherently a losing proposition. Many successful traders have overcome these challenges through dedication, discipline, and continuous learning. Here are some strategies to help new traders increase their chances of success:

  1. Education: Invest time in learning about the financial markets, trading strategies, and risk management. There are numerous online courses, books, and educational resources available.
  2. Start Small: Begin with a small trading account and trade with money you can afford to lose. This approach reduces the emotional pressure and financial risk.
  3. Develop a Trading Plan: Create a comprehensive trading plan that includes clear entry and exit strategies, risk management rules, and realistic goals. Stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
  4. Practice with a Demo Account: Many brokers offer demo accounts where you can practice trading with virtual money. This allows you to hone your skills and test your strategies without risking real capital.
  5. Manage Risk: Implement strict risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade.
  6. Control Your Emotions: Learn to manage your emotions, particularly fear and greed. Emotion-driven decisions often lead to losses.
  7. Learn from Mistakes: It’s essential to analyze your losing trades and learn from your mistakes. Each loss can be a valuable lesson if you use it to improve your trading strategy.

The Bottom Line

The Rule of 90 serves as a stark reminder of the challenges faced by new traders in the world of financial markets. While the road to trading success is riddled with obstacles, it’s not insurmountable. With education, discipline, and the right mindset, aspiring traders can increase their odds of success and avoid becoming a statistic in the Rule of 90. Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a journey that demands dedication, continuous learning, and the ability to adapt to the ever-changing landscape of the financial markets.

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The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center (2024)

FAQs

The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center? ›

The Rule of 90 is a grim statistic that serves as a sobering reminder of the difficulty of trading. According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital.

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

Broker Forex Global

While it can be a lucrative venture for some, it is also known to be a high-risk activity. This is where the 90 rule in Forex comes into play. The 90 rule in Forex is a commonly cited statistic that states that 90% of Forex traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days.

What is the FVG pattern? ›

Fair value gaps can become a magnet for the price before continuing in the same direction. On a chart, a fair value gap appears in a triple-candle pattern when there is a large candle whose previous candle's high and subsequent candle's low do not fully overlap the large candle.

What are the rules for FVG? ›

For a FVG to develop, there must be a set of three candles characterized by heavy buying or selling in the same direction. When there is a large move in either direction, a gap will be formed between the first candle's wick and the wick of the last candle, as illustrated in the figures below.

What is the strategy of FVG? ›

There are a number of different strategies that can be used to trade FVGs. Some common strategies include: Buying the gap: This is the most common strategy for trading FVGs. The idea is to buy the market at the price level of the gap, and then sell it once the market retraces back to the gap.

What is No 1 rule of trading? ›

Rule 1: Always Use a Trading Plan

You need a trading plan because it can assist you with making coherent trading decisions and define the boundaries of your optimal trade. A decent trading plan will assist you with avoiding making passionate decisions without giving it much thought.

Why 90 people fail in trading? ›

Most new traders lose because they can't control the actions their emotions cause them to make. Another common mistake that traders make is a lack of risk management. Trading involves risk, and it's essential to have a plan in place for how you will manage that risk.

How do you identify FVG? ›

FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns. Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.

What does a bullish FVG mean? ›

The FVG formation consists of three candles and there are bullish and bearish FVGs. In simplified terms, we can illustrate them as follows: A bullish Fair Value Gap is created when there is a gap between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle.

What does the FVG stand for? ›

The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a widely utilized tool among price action traders to detect market inefficiencies or imbalances.

What is liquidity sweep in trading? ›

What Is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when large orders are placed to consume available liquidity at a certain price level. Liquidity in this context is often found in the form of traders' stop-loss and stop-entry orders.

What is FVG in SMC trading? ›

Faire value gap (FVG)

Beneficial concept in price action trading; it offers an area that provides price inefficiencies. They detect instances of inefficiencies, or imbalances, in the market. FVG's are like errors in the market; price mostly tends to back and fill the gap.

Is FVG the same as imbalance? ›

Institutional Fair Value Gap, also known as imbalance, inefficiencies, and Liquidity void, identifies the most significant FVG within the lookback period. This is often referred to as Institutional Fair Value Gap since only big players can cause these liquidity voids.

What is an example of a fair value gap? ›

Fair Value Gaps are created within a three-candle sequence and are commonly visualized on the chart as a large candle whose neighboring candles' upper and lower wicks do not fully overlap the large candle.

How do you identify order blocks? ›

How to identify order blocks in Forex? In the chart, an order block looks like one or several candlesticks of an engulfing pattern that breaks out the order block range. The price should break out the range, return within the range, and rebound, which will mark the beginning of a new trend.

Is it true that 90 of traders lose money? ›

Actually numbers are following: 70% -75% of people lose money in their first year of trading! Other 20–25 % lose money in next 5 years! And only 3–5% of all traders are profitable or not losing money.

What is the 80% rule in trading? ›

The Rule. If, after trading outside the Value Area, we then trade back into the Value Area (VA) and the market closes inside the VA in one of the 30 minute brackets then there is an 80% chance that the market will trade back to the other side of the VA.

What is the 5 3 1 rule in trading? ›

Intro: 5-3-1 trading strategy

The numbers five, three and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades. One time to trade, the same time every day.

What is the 80-20 rule in trading? ›

In investing, the 80-20 rule generally holds that 20% of the holdings in a portfolio are responsible for 80% of the portfolio's growth. On the flip side, 20% of a portfolio's holdings could be responsible for 80% of its losses.

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